Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.129632 0.149957 0.172399 0.199013 0.229717 0.264031 0.305301
2025-11-16 0.098539 0.126073 0.159606 0.203444 0.259261 0.327994 0.419144
2025-11-23 0.080672 0.110713 0.149880 0.204675 0.279393 0.377808 0.517479
2025-11-30 0.069268 0.100662 0.143934 0.207914 0.300170 0.428530 0.621051
2025-12-07 0.058695 0.089644 0.134409 0.203851 0.308953 0.462301 0.703585
2025-12-14 0.050873 0.081234 0.127086 0.201336 0.318693 0.497353 0.790767
2025-12-21 0.045705 0.076008 0.123612 0.203781 0.335605 0.544212 0.900456
2025-12-28 0.042806 0.073912 0.124592 0.213091 0.364029 0.611581 1.049866
2026-01-04 0.039636 0.070891 0.123580 0.218766 0.386758 0.671662 1.193403
2026-01-11 0.036741 0.067935 0.122239 0.223536 0.408176 0.731352 1.342328
2026-01-18 0.033760 0.064424 0.119464 0.225306 0.424233 0.783004 1.482087
2026-01-25 0.030467 0.059922 0.114360 0.222132 0.430703 0.817785 1.594127
2026-02-01 0.026945 0.054622 0.107291 0.214643 0.428575 0.837132 1.680557
2026-02-08 0.025277 0.052764 0.106574 0.219389 0.450681 0.904800 1.868874
2026-02-15 0.023413 0.050272 0.104307 0.220716 0.465983 0.960556 2.039161
2026-02-22 0.021966 0.048464 0.103190 0.224208 0.485975 1.027526 2.239554
2026-03-01 0.019937 0.045162 0.098605 0.219828 0.488810 1.059312 2.368625
2026-03-08 0.018272 0.042462 0.094994 0.217117 0.494872 1.098347 2.517435
2026-03-15 0.017202 0.040978 0.093859 0.219753 0.513011 1.165193 2.735333
2026-03-22 0.016771 0.040919 0.095884 0.229789 0.549007 1.275101 3.063428
2026-03-29 0.016079 0.040159 0.096221 0.235907 0.576505 1.368461 3.362815
2026-04-05 0.015368 0.039271 0.096159 0.241049 0.602204 1.460167 3.668070
2026-04-12 0.014510 0.037916 0.094837 0.242958 0.620206 1.535406 3.941054